Tuesday, November 15, 2011

S&P 500 ~ Intraday Update 1 ~ 15 November 2011

Wave [e] probably ended at 1244:


If so, we should see a break above 1265-67. Once above it the SPX shouldn't trade below 1244 again (for the next few weeks).

Monday, November 14, 2011

S&P 500 ~ EOD Update ~ 14 November 2011

It looks like the SPX is forming a triangle:


Once we break out of the triangle we should get a big move. I tend to a breakout to the upside because triangles tend to be continuation patterns and, as said earlier, end of year is usually bullish. A break above last week's high should lead to a rally to 1310ish or maybe even higher back to the yearly highs.
A break below 1220-30 should lead to the next support level at 1190ish.

Wednesday, November 9, 2011

S&P 500 ~ EOD Update ~ 9 November 2011

Huge down day today! The SPX lost 3.67 %!


We're back at the support around 1220-30. If it breaks below it the next stop is 1190ish. As said earlier, as long as 1190ish holds this should be only a correction and we can expect a rally into year end.

Gold ~ Update ~ 9 November 2011

Gold hit 1800 yesterday and is now only about 100 $ below its all-time high:


Since November and December are usually strong months for gold a rally to the all-time high is very likely. Support levels are at 1750ish and 1680ish and the trend is up as long as these hold.

EUR/CHF ~ Update ~ 9 November 2011

As expected the EUR/CHF is oscillating between the 1.24ish and the 1.20ish area. After hitting 1.24 in mid October the EUR/CHF declined to 1.21 by late October and is now back at 1.24ish on some rumors that the SNB might increase the minimum rate to 1.25 or 1.30:


Unless this happens I think the EUR/CHF will continue to trade between 1.24ish and 1.20ish.